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What Is Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI)? A Simple Guide with Examples

🧠 What Is NRI?

The Net Reclassification ImprovementĀ (NRI) is a way to measure how much better a new diagnostic model or test is at correctly classifying peopleĀ compared to an old model.

It tells us whether the new model moves people into more appropriate risk categories:

  • Higher probability for those with the diseaseĀ (D = 1)

  • Lower probability for those without the diseaseĀ (D = 0)


šŸ“ The Formula Explained



šŸ”¢ An Example with Numbers

Suppose we apply a new diagnostic model to 100 people:

  • 40 have the disease (D=1)

  • 60 do not (D=0)

In comparison to the old model, here’s what happened:


šŸŽÆ Interpretation:

  • The new model improved net classification by 30%Ā overall.

  • That means it correctly moved more people into the ā€œright directionā€ than the wrong one.

šŸ” Summary Table

Direction of Movement

Group

Effect on Accuracy

Good or Bad?

Upward

D = 1

More likely to detect

āœ… Good

Downward

D = 1

Misses diagnosis

āŒ Bad

Downward

D = 0

Avoids overtreatment

āœ… Good

Upward

D = 0

Increases false positives

āŒ Bad


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