Estimating Mean and SD Using Wan’s Method for Meta-Analysis

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Wan's Estimator

Wan's Estimator for Meta-Analysis

Scenario 1: Min, Median, Max, n





Scenario 2: Min, Q1, Median, Q3, Max, n







Scenario 3: Q1, Median, Q3, n






🎯 Purpose

In meta-analyses, especially of clinical studies, researchers often encounter studies reporting medians, ranges, and quartiles instead of means and SDs. Wan et al. (2014) developed a validated approach to estimate the sample mean and SD from incomplete summary data, allowing inclusion in meta-analysis.

Wan’s Calculator automates three estimation scenarios depending on available statistics.


🧩 Scenario 1: Minimum, Median, Maximum, Sample Size

📌 Required Inputs:

  • Minimum (a)
  • Median (m)
  • Maximum (b)
  • Sample size (n)

📘 Estimation Formulas:

Mean

Estimated Mean: Estimated Mean ≈ a + 2m + b 4

Standard Deviation (SD)

Estimated SD: Estimated SD = b − a C(n)

Where

  • a: Minimum
  • b: Maximum
  • m: Median
  • n: Sample size
  • C(n): Adjustment factor based on sample size (Wan et al.)

For n < 25: use specific lookup values
For n ≥ 25: use normal approximation

Example (n = 20):

  • Min = 40, Median = 60, Max = 100 →Mean ≈ (40 + 2×60 + 100) / 4 = 65 →SD ≈ (100 − 40) / 4.06 = 14.78

Note: The calculator automates lookup or computes C(n) using default functions.


🧩 Scenario 2: Minimum, Q1, Median, Q3, Maximum, Sample Size

📌 Required Inputs:

  • Minimum (a)
  • First quartile (Q1)
  • Median (m)
  • Third quartile (Q3)
  • Maximum (b)
  • Sample size (n)

📘 Estimation Formulas:

Mean

Estimated Mean: Estimated Mean ≈ a + 2Q1 + 2m + 2Q3 + b 8

Standard Deviation (SD)

Estimated SD: (b−a)2 + (Q3−Q1)2 2⁢C(n)

Where

  • a: Minimum
  • b: Maximum
  • Q1: First quartile
  • Q3: Third quartile
  • m: Median
  • n: Sample size
  • C(n): Sample size–based adjustment factor

Example (n = 40):

  • a = 30, Q1 = 45, m = 50, Q3 = 55, b = 70 →Mean ≈ (30 + 2×45 + 2×50 + 2×55 + 70)/8 = 50 →SD ≈ √[ ((70−30)² + (55−45)²) / (2 × 4.21) ] ≈ 12.02

🧩 Scenario 3: Q1, Median, Q3, Sample Size

📌 Required Inputs:

  • First quartile (Q1)
  • Median (m)
  • Third quartile (Q3)
  • Sample size (n)

📘 Estimation Formulas:

Mean

Estimated Mean: Estimated Mean ≈ Q1 + m + Q3 3

Standard Deviation (SD)

Estimated SD: Estimated SD = Q3 − Q1 A(n)

Where

  • Q1: First quartile
  • m: Median
  • Q3: Third quartile
  • n: Sample size
  • A(n): Quartile-based adjustment factor

Where A(n) is another adjustment factor depending on n:

  • For n ≥ 25, A(n) ≈ 1.35

Example (n = 50):

  • Q1 = 40, m = 50, Q3 = 60 →Mean ≈ (40 + 50 + 60)/3 = 50 →SD ≈ (60 − 40)/1.35 ≈ 14.81

🧠 Key Notes

  • Wan’s method assumes that data follow roughly symmetric distributions.
  • Use Scenario 2 when all five summary statistics are available (most precise).
  • The calculator handles small and large n with different correction constants.
  • Always specify which estimation method you used when reporting meta-analysis inputs.
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